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Grade 12 · Probability
Counting Principles & Probability (Grade 12)
MEMORANDUM
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Mark
  / 29

Answer all questions. Show all your working — marks are awarded for method as well as the final answer. Teacher copy: accept any correct equivalent method.

  1. 1
    How many 4-digit PINs can be formed if digits may repeat?
    (2)
    10⁴ = 10 000✓✓ (2)
  2. 2
    How many 4-digit PINs can be formed if no digit may repeat?
    (2)
    10 × 9 × 8 × 7 = 5 040✓✓ (2)
  3. 3
    In how many ways can 5 different books be arranged on a shelf?
    (1)
    5! = 120✓ (1)
  4. 4
    4 boys and 3 girls sit in a row. In how many ways can they sit if the girls sit together?
    (3)
    5! × 3! = 120 × 6 = 720✓✓✓ (3)
  5. 5
    For those 7 learners, calculate the probability that the girls sit together.
    (2)
    720/(5 040) = 1/7✓✓ (2)
  6. 6
    How many arrangements are there of the letters of the word LETTER?
    (3)
    (6!)/(2!×2!) = 180✓✓✓ (3)
  7. 7
    Write down the value of 0!
    (1)
    1✓ (1)
  8. 8
    Using the tree diagram below, calculate the probability that a person tests positive.
    (3)
    1545910110210810DD′TT′TT′has diseasetest result
    1/5 × 9/10 + 4/5 × 2/10 = 0,34✓✓✓ (3)
  9. 9
    Of 80 learners: 40 play soccer, 32 play cricket, 28 play tennis; 15 play soccer and cricket, 12 soccer and tennis, 10 cricket and tennis, and 6 play all three. How many play none?
    (4)
    Centre 6 ✓; pairs only 9, 6, 4 ✓; singles: soccer 40 − 9 − 6 − 6 = 19, cricket 32 − 9 − 4 − 6 = 13, tennis 28 − 6 − 4 − 6 = 12 ✓; at least one = 19 + 13 + 12 + 9 + 6 + 4 + 6 = 69; none = 80 − 69 = 11 ✓(4)
  10. 10
    In a group of 150 people, 90 are female and 60 wear glasses, of whom 40 are female. Determine whether ‘female’ and ‘wears glasses’ are independent.
    (4)
    P(F) = 90/150 = 0,6 ✓; P(G) = 60/150 = 0,4 ✓; P(F and G) = 40/150 = 0,267 ✓; P(F) × P(G) = 0,24 ≠ 0,267, so NOT independent ✓(4)
  11. 11
    State the test for two events being independent.
    (2)
    P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B) ✓✓(2)
  12. 12
    Why must a three-event Venn diagram be filled from the centre outwards?
    (2)
    Each pairwise total already includes those in all three ✓; starting at the centre lets you subtract that overlap so nobody is counted twice ✓(2)
TOTAL: 29 marks
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